Well, Pirate fans, the Pirates finally get a break in their schedule. Coming off a dominating 25-point win over UMass, they now return home for nearly the rest of the month as the non-conference portion of their schedule comes to a close and Big East play begins. Longwood is on tap for tonight, and here's all you need to know about the tiny, Farmville, VA school:
2010-11 record: 3-7
2009-10 record: 12-19
Key returnees: Antwan Carter, Martiz Washington, Aaron Mitchell, Jan van der Kooij, Durann Neil, Jeremiah Bowman (transfer)
Key losses: Billy Robinson, Jr., Dana Smith, Kevin Swecker
I really had to dig deep to find some information on this D-1 Independent team from Farmville, about 60 miles southwest of Richmond. The Lancers have put up 81.9 points per game, and are ranked 4th in the nation in adjusted tempo, according to Ken Pomeroy. You know what that means? This team LOVES to run and shoot. And as much as they push the ball, they are ranked just 240th in the nation in efficiency. This signals that the Lancers aren't very judicious about their shot selection.
But here's the kicker- of 345 D-1 Basketball teams, they are ranked THIRD TO LAST in defensive efficiency and DEAD LAST in opponent's FG% and opponent's 2-point FG%. To say that this team doesn't play defense is an understatement. They are like VMI, but worse defensively, if you can believe it. They are also in the bottom 25 in both steals and blocks. The stats don't lie. Ken Pomeroy has predicted Seton Hall to win 101-68, and if the Hall had Jeremy Hazell for this game, they could easily throw up 150 points and no one would notice.
The Lancers do have one player who is averaging a double-double in Antwan Carter (15.4 points, 10.3 rebounds), and love to shoot threes, with three players having taken 50 or more deep balls this season. But the bottom line is that Seton Hall should not only win, but win by at least 25.
If Seton Hall defends the perimeter shots of Longwood, they will win. It would probably take an early Christmas miracle for any other outcome to pass.
PIRATES WILL WIN IF:
- They play defense on the perimeter
LONGWOOD COULD WIN IF:
- Lightning strikes the Prudential Center twice.
Yeah, it's blunt, but it's true.
SIDE NOTE: Tune in tonight to 89.5 FM WSOU as I'll have color commentary alongside Gabby Kiger. Also online at wsou.net. Pre-game starts at approximately 6:45 with tipoff at 7 PM from the Prudential Center